Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.105081 0.123643 0.144400 0.169317 0.198401 0.231265 0.271210
2025-11-16 0.076777 0.100449 0.129717 0.168500 0.218487 0.280695 0.363954
2025-11-23 0.059195 0.083874 0.116771 0.163701 0.228810 0.315827 0.440854
2025-11-30 0.049940 0.075542 0.111835 0.166823 0.247812 0.362486 0.536963
2025-12-07 0.042362 0.067849 0.105971 0.166835 0.261252 0.401778 0.626418
2025-12-14 0.035634 0.060107 0.098531 0.162846 0.267381 0.430090 0.701949
2025-12-21 0.030995 0.054815 0.093906 0.162212 0.278040 0.465783 0.792262
2025-12-28 0.028357 0.052375 0.093420 0.168015 0.299488 0.520598 0.919315
2026-01-04 0.026383 0.050745 0.093981 0.175488 0.324389 0.583518 1.066762
2026-01-11 0.024206 0.048394 0.092890 0.179741 0.343898 0.638968 1.206993
2026-01-18 0.021785 0.045205 0.089806 0.179818 0.355590 0.681474 1.328143
2026-01-25 0.018913 0.040703 0.083628 0.173130 0.353553 0.698286 1.402831
2026-02-01 0.016056 0.035949 0.076599 0.164401 0.347575 0.709107 1.471803
2026-02-08 0.014384 0.033460 0.073842 0.164081 0.358654 0.754830 1.616408
2026-02-15 0.012572 0.030365 0.069361 0.159457 0.360097 0.781244 1.724701
2026-02-22 0.011605 0.029031 0.068483 0.162506 0.378279 0.844168 1.916979
2026-03-01 0.010533 0.027274 0.066398 0.162518 0.389675 0.893849 2.086364
2026-03-08 0.009340 0.025028 0.062857 0.158630 0.391612 0.922935 2.213227
2026-03-15 0.008489 0.023502 0.060810 0.158013 0.401088 0.969931 2.386403
2026-03-22 0.008068 0.023034 0.061287 0.163669 0.426394 1.056237 2.661730
2026-03-29 0.007756 0.022811 0.062352 0.170954 0.456641 1.157580 2.984831
2026-04-05 0.007317 0.022162 0.062220 0.175100 0.479436 1.243431 3.279709
2026-04-12 0.006741 0.021031 0.060644 0.175175 0.491635 1.304423 3.519122